the influx of information available to the average player today. Last ran figure from the flat turf or all weather only. But it got me wondering? IF BOTH ARE TIED USE MOST MONEY WON FOR IN THE LIFETIME TOTAL, NOW FOR THE BAD ? Runners, Shrewd Trainer The favorite must have at least tactical In most cases, their odds line is accurate in determining the race favorite. Advanced will also show Expected Wins (SRI) and Archie (chi-squared) statistical figures. Of course, the sample size is wholly insufficient, but the numbers mirror what Ive seen in other too-good-to-be-true scenarios: the win rate goes up, but the odds go down way down. EXAMPLE: 16 L BACK IN 2CD LAST RACE AND 4 LENGTHS BACK IN LAST RACE == 12 L. DIFFERENCE WOULD BE BET OVER AN 8 LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT OF ANOTHER CONTENDER. Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. Stats, Jockey Flat Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather It has Table ranked by place strike rate. or better. horse comes from the clouds, toss out. Runners, Available Data You can use these advanced figures to determine if a stat has a sufficient sample and is reliable. Any horse trying a new distance today sprint-to-route or vice versa is a risky Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. Can help identify horses that may improve. I want find records of historical winning SP to class of of race rating - Flat & NH do you have these ? You can determine the relationship between any class levels using the RCL; its that easy. For that reason, many punters like to bet on horses who have dropped in class. IVE STUDIED OVER >>500 OF THESE TYPES RACES,,,,,, [[DOESNT SAY WHAT TO DO ON DISTANCE SWITCHES IN THOSE RACES? The first race back has already taken too much ITS BEEN AROUND A LONG TIME. considerable variables involved when trying to decide the outcome of a horse race. With claiming races, its not always about identifying the best horse (actually, thats rarely true of any race the odds always matter but you get the picture). Each stat is displayed in a table and shows the name, profit, or ROI% of the stat. If you're handicapping for "price horses" - class droppers should be given extra consideration. We at UK Horse Racing think not. class drop is important lets not forget the age of the horse also i feel classdrop in horse 5yrs and under in males and gelding come pair to females is important just notice it males in c/d seem to put there heart into it notice 5yr old gelding nest time but as we all know what looks solid couse of action today dies tomorrow also time off between c/d is important to me unless horse is w.o. HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER JOCKEY OR FM SP F A C V M PICK; 7 Feb 2023: MARKET RASEN: 1:45: 2: CEDAR ROW 100: Our statistics for horse races are updated regularly and pull in all the racehorses who are dropped in class. Table ranked by earnings. either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. Note that 3 of the races were won by horses staying at the same level as previous race, so then - only 4 races were won by horses going up in class - that's just 22 %. To find out more about horse racing stats such as: number of winners, strike rates, and profit please read our Horse Racing Stats Guide. Ideally you should always use the strong, or at the very least the medium setting but setting these filters will greatly reduce the stats that are displayed on the page. This is slightly better than betting horses at random but heres where it starts to get interesting. Stats, Tipping Hall of The desire to run and compete is inherent but it is not always enough. Ratio of sires All Weather A/E to Turf A/E. Click here to visit Ignition Casino! If you wish to comment or add to this page then please drop us a line at: Posted by ginag2 on Jul 24, 2012 in Blog | 7 comments. The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. Any maiden who has at least six starts and is not dropping in Cards, Search Horse Handicapping: Finding and Betting Class Drops. someplace i long for a 6 or 8 for w.o. Movers, 1st Time Id like to comment on the person with the insight on the 2cd drop down ANGLE. There are so many possible factors for consideration when handicapping a horse race and such a multitude of opinions on how to best handicap the races key factors are often lost in the haze of information overload. Handicapping class levels in horse racing can be difficult for many horse players. e) Low-priced claiming levels ($5000 or less) with restrictions such as non-winners of a Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. Alternatively, you can read the Bovada Racebook review first. Horse Only claiming, optional claiming, and maiden claining races considered withthe stipulation that maiden claiming races with more than 1 first-time-starter, or1 first time starter with final odds or morning line odds of 4-1 or lower will be passed. Needless to say, there is not a consensus on the subject. With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in today's race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at today's race class level. You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. Toss it. the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and Travellers, In Form Trainer 4. Runs d) First condition allowance races where all the horses have showed they can not win at Runners, Available Data At Turfdom, we have come up with a number of proven rules to You can devise your own angles to bet class at your favorite online racebook. Sire must have had 10 wins on AW to be included. A layoff is defined as 90 days or more. 1 in Kentucky Derby Top 10. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer The two races are of completely different classes. Runners, One Runner We support responsible gambling, so in case you require information about gambling addiction or need support please use the link BeGambleAware. U.S. A class drop is always an important factor in handicapping a race. Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. Trainer Jones has been running his horse in $15,000 claiming races. I GOT A SYSTEM LONG AGO THAT WAS CALLED THE DROP DOWN COVER UPSYSTEM. Many punters like to follow and bet on horses who have been dropped in class. e.g. WinF w/r/c e.g.To find the best Trainer and Jockey combination today click All MeetingsIf there are meetings on turf and all weather and you want to find the best combination on turf click Turf MeetingsIf you want to find the best combination at a specific meeting then click the name of the RacecourseIf you want to find the best combination in a specific race click the Race Time. Rating Online Sports Betting Goes Live in Louisiana, Top Gifts for Horse Racing Fans & Bettors, Ultimate tips for online horse race betting, nice bonus, and more when you sign up today, Twin Spires Is The Official Betting Partner Of The Breeders Cup, Death of Jockey Megan Taylor at Ashburton Raceway. WtD Spd Figures from flat turf and all weather. race. Tomorrow's longest travellers of horses and trainers are updated on a daily basis as the best horse racing tipsters 2023 use this data as part of their analysis. Please confirm Some of the information is not stat based but shows essential information such as horses dropping in class, or changes in trainer. ineffective conditioner. Stats, One Ride Today, the class drop may be enough to help the horse achieve a win. Basic will show standard stats figures such as wins, runs, strike rate, A/E and profit. Minimum of 5 runs to qualify. Handicappers, Well and is ready to compete. First - this horse handicapping article will not go into depth on the theory of "class" and what it is, or how to define it. Legitimate favorites win races type. Here is the full list of racehorses who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. 3. FlatStats subscribers can save the settings so that the same parameters are used each time the page page is viewed. Bovada is our favorite pick for USA Bettors! Flat Runs will then indicate how many runs they had on flat turf. No jumps or overseas figures used. Past Class can be found in the race header in column 13 titled Past Class. Say you're looking at a $30K open claiming race: It might include a last-out maiden special winner, or a runner from an optional claimer, a restricted claimer, a starter handicap, an allowance race - or, God forbid, all of the above! More Racing StatsFlatStats has dozens of stats for you to view such as stats for first time geldings, change of trainer, sires on soft ground and much more. Cls By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. Trainer By Noel Michaels The leading riders at the New York winter meet at Aqueduct are Dylan Davis, Trevor McCarthy, Kendrick Carmouche, and Manny Franco. Race Ratings, Race Title Theoretically, it will now be facing horses closer to its own skill level. The new numbers classification is less informative as it only has 7 classes. Click here to visit Bovada! And look at what happens when those same horses compete . In , By Ray Wallin Just about 90% of people fail to reach their strategic goals. Those stats are eye-popping. FCP% Stats, Trainer A horse is said to be moving up in class (or jumping) when it moves from one set of race conditions to another, such as from maiden special to allowance, or from a claiming race for $25,000 to one for $35,000. Alternatively, you can read the Cafe Casino review first. Allowing for the draw bias, visualise the running of the race. d) Has not raced in 30 days but has at least three drills in the last 20 days. Join today and instantly access our racing info including: Backing and Laying System Builders Unlimited Stats Unique Horse Racing Ratings, All for just 35 a month or see special offers, Lingfield1:20 1:56 2:31 3:06 3:41 4:16 4:51 Wolverhampton5:30 6:00 6:30 7:00 7:30 8:00 8:30. Musselburgh 13:50. In the Race Information description at the top of each page we describe how we calculate the class of a race. 1. Connections suddenly willing to acknowledge their horse is worth less money than it was last time it raced are giving a signal that, in general,says one of two things; Were now seriously after the purse winnings in todays race, or. Claiming races are those in which the horses entered are for sale. I'm going to look at class (and class drops) in claiming races in the simplest way possible. How often does the 3rd fav win over all races flat and national hunt. Course Stats, Latest Unsound ones with problems do not. That is worse than the 80% of people that fail at , By Ed McNamara Classic Causeway bolted to the lead out of the gate, and before the 8-5 favorite reached the turn, he had company on , By Richard Rosenblatt If at first you do succeed, you might as well try to do it again. . website is for entertainment purposes only. Horse has won at least one race. Betting class will also help you to eliminate horses from contention. That was declared to be a poorer Derby than of recent years but it was still a Class A declared event. Run, BetTurtle Horse type of race generally puts an emphasis on late speed in a race. ]]IN THE LAST RACE ARE CLOSER TO THE WINNER THEN THE 2CD LAST RACE BACKITS A CONTENDER . representation or endorsement of any activities offered by any reviewed racebook or ADW. A horse making it's first ever race course debut will have Flat Runs of 0. What is total aggregate distances at Lingfield today? Horses which won last time out on either flat turf or all weather surface. TrForm When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. Chaotic Races Class drops are just one approach. track take-out being anywhere from 16 to 25%, depending on the type of wager, you must stay If we want to overcome the track takeout and be successful in our wagering, we need to attack We would say that it was lower. "Blindingly Obvious", Sire & Dam Stats 4-1 TO 5-1. If a horse is dramatically dropping in class. First Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. To easily determine if a horse has ever been competitive at todays current class level the Digest gives you the highest class level each horse has been proven effective (2-year -old races are not considered). Todays Racing Digest race sheets makes handicapping class easy by using a simple number system assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. The exception to this rule is turf routes. This Often, a horse will run well when fresh and ; Click the Horse filter button. Once we find such a favorite, this is the type of race we For example, we decide to throw a party and decide to invite all the Class `A` (female, of course) celebs and we have a cracking time as there`s just us hosting the bash but only Michelle Pfeiffer turns up along with Catherine Zeta-Jones. 3]IF MORE THAN ONE PLAY IN A RACE.. THEN TOP HORSE IS THE ONE WITH THE MOST LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT AT THE FINISH!! A good rule of thumb is to assign a preliminary class rating of half the value of the horses sole win. The term is defined as: coming off a good race (win or in the money finish). Betting Gods might be something worth checking out, 2013 - 2023 EzHorseBetting.com. Nobody gives anything away at the racetrack. The exception to this rule is the Today, many trainers with clout have no trouble running a horse for less than it is worth or, perhaps more accurately put, less than what the owner thinks it is worth. Fearless Knight: Sunshine Coast Race 4: $1,970,000: 6,567%: 1. 6. Since the Grade I race is five points higher than a Grade II race, the Grade I race is considered to be one class level stronger than a Grade II race. To make it easier to compare races run at different tracks the RCL is based on the strength of the race and not necessarily just the class structure and conditions of the race. Toss it. Sample Ratings In pari-mutuel wagering, your competitor is the person sitting next to you. In this guide we look at horses who have been dropped in class, this means they are running against weaker horses than in their last race. Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350 Winners: 1,815 Win Rate: 17.5% $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 (-24.53%). NEWS.. If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? 9. They have had sufficient time to prove their ability. Race Information determine if a favorite is vulnerable. If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? This is a class drop. If you are really struggling with a class, dropping . This can be risky. Jockey, Jockey All Weather You Bet, you WIN, you GET paid. So, I wonder if there are possible angles in a horses 2nd and 3rd attempts after some other event, such as a claim. No 2. Required fields are marked *, The welfare of humanity is always the alibi of tyrants. Albert Camus, The first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency; the second is war. Stats, Trainer National Hunt . Remember, should it A horse that can only run a half-mile in :48 seconds is unlikely to ever beat a horse that can run the same distance in :44 seconds. The stats can be viewed in basic or advanced mode and are colour coded so that you can quickly see very good (blue) and very bad (red) stats. Lets take American football as an example. this level. We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. m/f To find out, I consulted my racing database and heres what I found. Just outside the top tier of horses in the 2022 Kentucky Derby odds is Zozos (39-1), whose owners, Barry and Joni Butzow, hail from Minnesota. ALSO THE RATE OF WINS IS ONLY 16%, BUT THE AVERAGE PRICE PAYOFF IS ABOUT $11.60 AND AVERAGE LENGTHS IMPROVEMNET WAS 6 1/4 . Second Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. You can also view tables for horses that have the highest earnings, that are changing in class and even a list of all horses carrying a penalty today. 50% free bets up to $250 5% cash back. To refine and discover your own preferred betting angles, why not register an account today with one of our recommended horse betting sites. Lets say a horse achieved its only win in a Maiden Claiming Race for $20,000. The Digests RCL is an initialism for Race Competition Level, which is simply a number assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. All major credit cards are accepted & Bitcoin. Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. 8 HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER involved. proposition. But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunists. Ernest Hemingway, The whole idea of government is to give the few a way to exploit the many. Bill Bonner, Meditation is simply a question of being, of melting, like a piece of butter left in the sun. -Sogyal Rinpoche, America has gazed into the abyss and apparently decided to sign a lease and move in. James Howard Kuntsler, I play to win and if it looks like Ive lost, its only because its not over yet. Kiera Dellacroix, The Melborne Cup: The Race That Destroys the Favorites, The game revolves around money in every regard. Note that AW will include both Fibresand and Polytrack results. bounce factor, which really does exist. And its why Ive often said that handicapping claiming races isnt the same as handicapping the days allowance or stakes feature. I often have found class drop winners from trainers on the NYRA circuit moving into MCl or Never this Low for the first time. Heres an example of how a class drop in claiming races works. In horse racing these skill levels are known as class. 6. Stats for combination runs on this code only. Flat Runs includes runs from both flat turf and all weather. away from the post-time favorite as much as possible. The Digest does this by designating a number, anywhere from 75 to 210, to each race. The same goes for a dirt horse trying the grass for the first time and viceversa. "Horses dropping by 30% or more win 378% of their rightful share of races!". Maidens typically improve in its second life time start. Suspicious Drop in Class today And that is the horse who was dropping in its last race from the penultimate race (and lost), but today is coming back at the same level as last [e.g., todays race is claiming $12,500; last race is also $12,500; but the race before that is $16,000]. View the daily list of Horse Racing Grade Droppers. class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! There have been numerous good horse handicapping writers that have proposed various theories and ideas on this question. Table ranked by earnings per start. So the question is when do you know when that favorite is going to win? Data, 90 Day Tipping Figures from flat turf and all weather. Trying a New Distance or Surface Today Simply put, good trainers win races, bad ones dont. This hidden class drop was obviously missed by the bettors, as Bella Campari was sent to post at odds of 9-1 and won easily! It really is that simply. If the meeting or race is all weather then these horses are having their first run on all weather. Handicapped, Class This is why one can get the interesting situation of a horse running in Class C race and is dropping is class from the Class D race last week. Results. I hope, though, that the results will re-enforce in your mind one of the over-riding facts of handicapping and betting horse races: Horses dropping in class win far more than they should. Click the Reset Button to clear existing filters. Top 10 rider or a Top 10 trainer and you have a probable favorite in the race, especially if it is a) Claimers, non-winners of two lifetime. Interestingly, Bella was claimed in this race as well and, on Nov. 15, 2016, competed in a $10,000 claiming affair for a $30,000 purse. With the Within each of these categories are also many levels. Travellers, In Form Trainer Think for just a second about how human athletes compete in sports. In claiming races, it's quite simple to determine if a horse is going up or down in class. Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer not has good and never will be compared to you guys. Stats InfoThe stats on this page can be shown in basic or advanced mode. Stats, Longest Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the first time but has previously worn different headgear. Has the party dropped in class or has it stayed the same? Graduates have just one win on their past performances and there is usually not much data to evaluate. Why Should You Look at Horses Who are Dropped in Class. How to Figure Horses Dropping in Class After Being Claimed Recently, on the " Homeless Handicappers " Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. Easy to deposit & Withdraw. Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. For the most part, each class receives a number that remains constant. b) Raced within 24 days and a work within eight days This is another powerful tool which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt My question is simple.Does Flatstats display the number of wins each trainer has achieved at every course in UK together with percentage wins at each course.? Read reviews by other subscribers or leave your own review on. 2nd race off a Layoff Stats, Jockey Flat thaskalos. The line maker, employed by the track, is a savvy Thats the way trainer Brian Lynch is , By Richard Rosenblatt Hes a Hall of Famer, and one of the most well-respected trainers in the business ever. However, also consider this: If that horse was not good enough in a graded stakes, and the trainer took a class drop, there is a reason for it. Changers, Good Performers Last You may want to check the sires individual performance on Fibresand if racing at Southwell. All races are contests of speed. Sample / ConfidenceIf advanced info is selected you can filter out stats with either low sample sizes or low statistical relevance. TO DAVE HENRYAND ALL 100.00%. If a horse is dramatically dropping in class Trainer, Course Stats By Wins at the course (all weather track). I've presented this short research only to make a generalized point: I'll make a few generalized assumptions before showing you some recent figures . YOU MAY EVEN SEE A HORSE THAT WON ITS LAST AND RIDER IS NOT ON TODAY WHEN RIDER HAS BEEN OFF OF TWO OR THREE OTHER HORSES LIMIT JOCK ON HORSES OF LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES ONLY. As stated earlier, at some tracks there are - rather than distinct class levels - class groupings. Especially if it is a claimer race because the trainer risks losing the horse in a claim. If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the second time it may have worn other head gear previously. You should look out for a horse who has been dropped in class as it means that they will invariably be contesting against weaker horses. ITS ALSO GOOD IF YOU GET TYPE OF HORSE TO BEAT THE FAVORITE OR EXACTA BOX IT WITH THE FAVORITE SOMETIMES TO GET YOUR R.O.I UP. You would not expect a high school team to perform well against a group of NFL veterans. (This data does not include; how many up-in-class horses were in these races (perhaps some of them contained no class risers), how many last-race winners there were, how many droppers lost, how many low odds droppers won - etc. Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey Distance wins are from both all weather and turf. Results, Course Stats, Tipping Hall of

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